Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.187301 0.217698 0.251514 0.291934 0.338958 0.391969 0.456310
2025-03-16 0.138428 0.178388 0.227648 0.292903 0.377207 0.482634 0.624808
2025-03-23 0.114215 0.158003 0.215929 0.298305 0.412724 0.566478 0.789574
2025-03-30 0.094479 0.138435 0.200009 0.292772 0.429452 0.624211 0.924250
2025-04-06 0.080723 0.124299 0.188438 0.290011 0.447530 0.683704 1.067008
2025-04-13 0.070888 0.114104 0.180587 0.290688 0.469444 0.749986 1.227135
2025-04-20 0.065587 0.109955 0.181036 0.303692 0.511416 0.851432 1.455287
2025-04-27 0.060622 0.105521 0.180201 0.314062 0.549798 0.951013 1.692746
2025-05-04 0.056085 0.101108 0.178658 0.322696 0.585803 1.050266 1.941877
2025-05-11 0.051199 0.095381 0.174021 0.325039 0.610538 1.132139 2.169570
2025-05-18 0.046243 0.088856 0.167085 0.322124 0.624894 1.196306 2.371605
2025-05-25 0.041103 0.081323 0.157348 0.312578 0.625184 1.233595 2.525496
2025-06-01 0.038661 0.078807 0.156988 0.321553 0.663531 1.350382 2.857186
2025-06-08 0.035577 0.074638 0.152925 0.322634 0.686177 1.438923 3.143304
2025-06-15 0.033336 0.071901 0.151368 0.328592 0.719532 1.553173 3.499303
2025-06-22 0.030227 0.066933 0.144583 0.322489 0.726025 1.610950 3.737820
2025-06-29 0.027731 0.062989 0.139501 0.319444 0.738789 1.683710 4.019953
2025-07-06 0.025797 0.060065 0.136294 0.320191 0.760193 1.778272 4.365855
2025-07-13 0.025034 0.059731 0.138834 0.334535 0.815170 1.956869 4.939299
2025-07-20 0.024103 0.058889 0.140096 0.345974 0.864561 2.128196 5.518183
2025-07-27 0.023105 0.057764 0.140559 0.355498 0.910396 2.296424 6.112342
2025-08-03 0.021767 0.055635 0.138359 0.358083 0.938960 2.425012 6.620057
2025-08-10 0.020221 0.052800 0.134099 0.354867 0.952059 2.515624 7.037835